PredictRips

Politics and election odds

In short

Most traded right now: Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms (Democrats Sweep 66%); Brazil Presidential Election (Flávio Bolsonaro 84%); Fed Decision in October? (No change 95%). Odds are live market prices, updated every few minutes.

Elections

  • Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

    Leading: Democrats Sweep at 66% (down 1 point in 24h). Closes 04 Nov 2026.

    Democrats Sweep66%

  • Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

    Leading: Flávio Bolsonaro <4% at 45% (up 3 points in 24h). Closes 26 Oct 2026.

    Flávio Bolsonaro <4%45%

    In the news: Brazil’s Lula, Bolsonaro draw thousands to election-eve rallies (Al Jazeera)

  • Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

    Leading: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia at 72% (up 1 point in 24h). Closes 25 Oct 2026.

    Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia72%

  • Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

    Leading: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 17% (down 1 point in 24h). Closes 08 Nov 2028.

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%

  • Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

    Leading: Gadi Eizenkot at 52% (up 2 points in 24h). Closes 28 Oct 2026.

    Gadi Eizenkot52%

  • Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

    Leading: J.D. Vance at 44% (flat in 24h). Closes 08 Nov 2028.

    J.D. Vance44%

  • Israeli Legislative Election Winner

    Leading: Yashar at 71% (up 2 points in 24h). Closes 28 Oct 2026.

    Yashar71%

  • Presidential Election Winner 2028

    Leading: JD Vance at 21% (up 1 point in 24h). Closes 08 Nov 2028.

    JD Vance21%

Geopolitics

  • Brazil Presidential Election

    Leading: Flávio Bolsonaro at 84% (up 7 points in 24h). Closes 26 Oct 2026.

    Flávio Bolsonaro84%

    In the news: Brazil’s Lula, Bolsonaro draw thousands to election-eve rallies (Al Jazeera)

  • US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

    Leading: October 28 at 90% (up 8 points in 24h). Closes 31 Oct 2026.

    October 2890%

  • Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

    Leading: Flávio Bolsonaro <4% at 45% (up 3 points in 24h). Closes 26 Oct 2026.

    Flávio Bolsonaro <4%45%

    In the news: Brazil’s Lula, Bolsonaro draw thousands to election-eve rallies (Al Jazeera)

  • Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

    Leading: Gadi Eizenkot at 52% (up 2 points in 24h). Closes 28 Oct 2026.

    Gadi Eizenkot52%

  • Next French Presidential Election

    Leading: Marine Le Pen at 46% (flat in 24h). Closes 19 Apr 2027.

    Marine Le Pen46%

  • Xi Jinping out before 2027?

    Leading: No at 97% (down 1 point in 24h). Closes 01 Jan 2027.

    No97%

  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

    Leading: October 27 at 92% (up 4 points in 24h). Closes 31 Dec 2026.

    October 2792%

  • US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

    Leading: March 31 at 59% (up 1 point in 24h). Closes 01 Jan 2027.

    March 3159%

Economy

  • Fed Decision in October?

    Leading: No change at 95% (up 2 points in 24h). Closes 29 Oct 2026.

    No change95%

  • Fed Decision in December?

    Leading: 25 bps increase at 77% (up 4 points in 24h). Closes 10 Dec 2026.

    25 bps increase77%

  • How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

    Leading: 0 (0 bps) at 97% (flat in 24h). Closes 01 Jan 2027.

    0 (0 bps)97%

    In the news: 2027 five-star fits: South Carolina has how many elite recruits now?! (ESPN)

  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

    Leading: No at 89% (flat in 24h). Closes 01 Jan 2027.

    No89%

  • Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

    Leading: Yes at 77% (down 1 point in 24h). Closes 10 Dec 2026.

    Yes77%

  • Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

    Leading: Hike–Pause–Hike at 74% (up 2 points in 24h). Closes 09 Dec 2026.

    Hike–Pause–Hike74%

  • Largest Company end of October 2026?

    Leading: NVIDIA at 61% (down 2 points in 24h). Closes 01 Nov 2026.

    NVIDIA61%

  • Largest Company end of December 2026?

    Leading: NVIDIA at 59% (up 2 points in 24h). Closes 01 Jan 2027.

    NVIDIA59%

FAQ

Where do these politics odds come from?

They are live prices from a public prediction market. A price of 62 cents means traders put the chance at about 62%. Prices move every time someone trades.

Are these odds a forecast?

They are the market's current price, not our opinion. Markets can be wrong, and thin markets move on small trades.

Can I get a politics market in a pack?

Cards are random. Most packs draw from markets that settle within hours, so long-dated election and geopolitics markets usually aren't in them. News packs, when they're in the shop, draw from politics and economy markets that settle within days. A card is never a pick of yours: you get whichever market the pack deals.

Your first pack is free

Rip a pack of live markets

Packs hold three live markets drawn at random, with the odds shown before you pay. Your first one is free.

Rip your free pack

18+. Packs are random and carry a house edge: about 85 to 86% of the price comes back as shown value on average.