Will Optimism TVL be higher at midnight UTC than now?

On-chain · Kalshi-style market · snapshot 2026-10-23 15:16 UTC

In short

The market prices "Yes" at 25¢, which means traders see about a 25% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 25¢ could return about 4.0x.

Yes25%

No75%

Down 5 points in the last hour

Illustrative price path ending at the snapshot price. Live charts are in the app.

Yes price: 25¢
No price: 75¢
Pays if right: $1 per share (about 4.0x on Yes)
Spread: 2¢
Liquidity: $13k
Volume: $205k

What this market means

Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Right now Yes costs 25¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 25%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. With about $13k of liquidity this is one of the deeper markets in its category.

On RIPS you don't trade this order book. You rip a pack: the pack draws live markets like this one at their current price, tells you in plain words what you hold, and lets you cash out any card at the live price before it resolves.

Optimism odds

Your first pack is free

Catch the next window in a pack

Packs draw 3 to 10 live crypto markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.

Rip your free pack

18+. Packs are random and carry a house edge: 86% of the price comes back as shown value on average.

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FAQ

What are the odds for "Will Optimism TVL be higher at midnight UTC than now?"?

The market prices "Yes" at 25¢, which means traders see about a 25% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 25¢ could return about 4.0x. These are snapshot prices from Fri, 23 Oct 2026 15:16:18 UTC.

How much does a correct Yes share pay?

$1 per share at resolution. At 25¢ that is about 4.0x your stake. No costs 75¢ and pays about 1.3x.

Can I get this market on RIPS?

It can land in a RIPS pack. Packs draw 3 to 10 random live crypto markets from a pool like this; you see the odds and pack value before paying, and you can hold to the result or cash out at the live price.

When does it resolve?

Around Fri, 23 Oct 2026 16:03:18 UTC based on the snapshot. The venue's own rules decide the final outcome; voided markets are refunded in RIPS.