Will US core CPI come in at or above 0.4% month on month?
In short
Up 2 points in the last hour
- 33¢
- 67¢
- $1 per share (about 3.0x on Yes)
- 1¢
- $78k
- $1.5M
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Right now Yes costs 33¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 33%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. With about $78k of liquidity this is one of the deeper markets in its category.
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Related markets
Will UK CPI come in at or above 2.5% year on year?43%
- Will US inflation come in at or below consensus today?82%
Will UK inflation come in at or below consensus today?69%
Will UK CPI come in at or above 3.0% year on year?3%
- Will today's core CPI print come in at or above consensus?63%
- Will Eurozone inflation come in at or below consensus today?84%
FAQ
What are the odds for "Will US core CPI come in at or above 0.4% month on month?"?
The market prices "Yes" at 33¢, which means traders see about a 33% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 33¢ could return about 3.0x. These are snapshot prices from Fri, 23 Oct 2026 15:16:18 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?
$1 per share at resolution. At 33¢ that is about 3.0x your stake. No costs 67¢ and pays about 1.5x.
Can I get this market on RIPS?
It can land in a RIPS pack. Packs draw 3 to 10 random live macro markets from a pool like this; you see the odds and pack value before paying, and you can hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
When does it resolve?
Around Fri, 23 Oct 2026 15:46:18 UTC based on the snapshot. The venue's own rules decide the final outcome; voided markets are refunded in RIPS.