NFLX

Will 'Velvet Run' be the #1 show on Netflix globally this week?

Streaming · Kalshi-style market · snapshot 2026-10-23 15:16 UTC

In short

The market prices "Yes" at 17¢, which means traders see about a 17% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 17¢ could return about 5.8x.

Yes17%

No83%

Up 1 points in the last hour

Illustrative price path ending at the snapshot price. Live charts are in the app.

Yes price: 17¢
No price: 83¢
Pays if right: $1 per share (about 5.8x on Yes)
Spread: 3¢
Liquidity: $92k
Volume: $745k

What this market means

Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Right now Yes costs 17¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 17%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. With about $92k of liquidity this is one of the deeper markets in its category.

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FAQ

What are the odds for "Will 'Velvet Run' be the #1 show on Netflix globally this week?"?

The market prices "Yes" at 17¢, which means traders see about a 17% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 17¢ could return about 5.8x. These are snapshot prices from Fri, 23 Oct 2026 15:16:18 UTC.

How much does a correct Yes share pay?

$1 per share at resolution. At 17¢ that is about 5.8x your stake. No costs 83¢ and pays about 1.2x.

Can I get this market on RIPS?

It can land in a RIPS pack. Packs draw 3 to 10 random live culture and politics markets from a pool like this; you see the odds and pack value before paying, and you can hold to the result or cash out at the live price.

When does it resolve?

Around Fri, 23 Oct 2026 18:38:18 UTC based on the snapshot. The venue's own rules decide the final outcome; voided markets are refunded in RIPS.