Bitcoin Up or Down: October 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
In short
Up down 42 points in the last 24 hours
- 8¢
- 92¢
- $1 per share (about 13x on Up)
- 2¢
- $5k
- $9k
What this market means
Traders buy Up or Down shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Up costs 8¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 8%, Up looks cheap; if lower, Down does. $9k has traded on it, $9k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". Full rules on Polymarket
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Packs draw 3 live crypto markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
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FAQ
What are the odds for "Bitcoin Up or Down: October 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET"?
The market prices "Up" at 8¢ and "Down" at 92¢, which means traders see about a 8% chance of "Up". A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 8¢ could return about 13x. Prices as of 25 Oct 2026, 06:39 UTC.
How much does a correct Up share pay?
$1 per share at resolution. At 8¢ that is about 13x your stake. Down costs 92¢ and pays about 1.1x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?
It is in the pack pool right now, so it can land in a PredictRips pack. Packs are random: you see the odds and pack value before paying, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
When does it resolve?
Trading closes around 25 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.