Bitcoin Up or Down: October 25, 4AM ET
In short
Up down 47 points in the last 24 hours
- 3¢
- 97¢
- $1 per share (about 39x on Up)
- 1¢
- $6k
- $3k
What this market means
Traders buy Up or Down shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Up costs 3¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 3%, Up looks cheap; if lower, Down does. $3k has traded on it, $4k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". Full rules on Polymarket
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FAQ
What are the odds for "Bitcoin Up or Down: October 25, 4AM ET"?
The market prices "Up" at 3¢ and "Down" at 97¢, which means traders see about a 3% chance of "Up". A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 3¢ could return about 39x. Prices as of 25 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC.
How much does a correct Up share pay?
$1 per share at resolution. At 3¢ that is about 39x your stake. Down costs 97¢ and pays about 1.0x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?
Not right now. PredictRips packs draw from live markets like this one, at random, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay.
When does it resolve?
Trading closes around 25 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.