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Bitcoin Up or Down: November 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Culture · Polymarket market

Live prices, updated . Pages refresh about every 5 minutes.

In short

The market prices "Up" at 46¢ and "Down" at 54¢, which means traders see about a 46% chance of "Up". A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 46¢ could return about 2.2x.
Up46%
Down54%

Up down 5 points in the last 24 hours

Up price
46¢
Down price
54¢
Pays if right
$1 per share (about 2.2x on Up)
Spread
1¢
Liquidity
$10k
Volume
$118

What this market means

Traders buy Up or Down shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Up costs 46¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 46%, Up looks cheap; if lower, Down does. $118 has traded on it, $625 in the last 24 hours.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". Full rules on Polymarket

On PredictRips you don't trade this order book. You rip a pack: the pack draws live markets like this one at their current price, tells you in plain words what you hold, and lets you cash out any card at the live price until 2 minutes before it closes.

Bitcoin odds

Your first pack is free

Get markets like this in a pack

Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.

18+. Packs are random and carry a house edge: pack value at open is about 90% of the price.

Related markets

FAQ

What are the odds for "Bitcoin Up or Down: November 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET"?

The market prices "Up" at 46¢ and "Down" at 54¢, which means traders see about a 46% chance of "Up". A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 46¢ could return about 2.2x. Prices as of 10 Nov 2026, 21:07 UTC.

How much does a correct Up share pay?

$1 per share at resolution. At 46¢ that is about 2.2x your stake. Down costs 54¢ and pays about 1.8x.

Can I get this market on PredictRips?

Not right now. PredictRips packs draw from live markets like this one, at random, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay.

When does it resolve?

Trading closes around 10 Nov 2026, 21:30 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.