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Polymarket 2028 election odds
In short
- 4
- $2.8B
- $4.9M
- 0
- 4 Polymarket markets on the 2028 US presidential election have over $500k traded each and stay open more than a day (2 Nov 2026, 21:24 UTC).
- Together they have traded $2.8B, $4.9M of it in the last 24 hours.
- The most traded is "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028": Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 16%, $1.3B traded.
- Biggest 24-hour move: "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028", J.D. Vance down 2 pts.
Every live market, most traded first
| Question | Favourite | 24h | Traded | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16% | 0 | 8 Nov 2028 | |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance18% | 0 | 8 Nov 2028 | |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance36% | down 2 | 8 Nov 2028 | |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Democratic66% | up 1 | 8 Nov 2028 |
What moves the 2028 US presidential election markets
Two years out, 2028 markets move on who says they will run or won't, early primary polling, fundraising, endorsements and the results of the 2026 midterms. Long-dated markets also tie up money for a long time, which keeps long shots slightly overpriced.
A price in cents is the chance in percent; each question page shows every outcome, the 7- and 30-day chart, the rules word for word and when the big moves happened. New to this? Read how to read Polymarket odds.
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Every pack holds 3 live prediction markets. Odds and pack value are shown before you pay. Hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
FAQ
What are the Polymarket odds on the 2028 US presidential election?
As of 2 Nov 2026, 21:24 UTC: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16%; Presidential Election Winner 2028: JD Vance 18%; Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: J.D. Vance 36%. Each question has its own page with every outcome, the price chart and the rules.
What moved most in the last 24 hours?
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: J.D. Vance down 2 pts (as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:24 UTC).
How do I read Polymarket odds?
Each outcome trades between 1¢ and 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens, so the price in cents is the chance in percent. 40¢ means about 40%, and buying at 40¢ pays about 2.5x if right.
Where do these numbers come from?
From Polymarket's public market data, read every few minutes. The time on this page is when the prices were taken; PredictRips does not set them.
Can I trade these markets on PredictRips?
Not one by one. PredictRips sells packs of 3 random live Polymarket positions, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.