PredictRips deals packs of 3 live Polymarket markets. Odds shown before you pay. First pack free.How it works
Polymarket geopolitics odds
In short
- 4
- $184.9M
- $2.5M
- 0
- 4 Polymarket markets on world events have over $500k traded each and stay open more than a day (2 Nov 2026, 21:46 UTC).
- Together they have traded $184.9M, $2.5M of it in the last 24 hours.
- The most traded is "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?": No at 83%, $76.7M traded.
- Biggest 24-hour move: "US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?", November 2 down 1 pt.
Every live market, most traded first
| Question | Favourite | 24h | Traded | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No83% | n/a | 1 Jan 2027 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? | November 398% | up 1 | 31 Dec 2026 | |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? | November 295% | down 1 | 1 Jan 2027 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by...? | June 30, 202710% | n/a | 1 Jul 2027 |
What moves world events markets
World markets move on official statements, negotiations, military action, sanctions and votes at the UN or in parliaments. Deadline questions ("...by December 31?") drift down as the date nears without the event.
A price in cents is the chance in percent; each question page shows every outcome, the 7- and 30-day chart, the rules word for word and when the big moves happened. New to this? Read how to read Polymarket odds.
Also: Politics odds, News movers.
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Rip a pack of live markets
Every pack holds 3 live prediction markets. Odds and pack value are shown before you pay. Hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
FAQ
What are the Polymarket odds on world events?
As of 2 Nov 2026, 21:46 UTC: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No 83%; Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?: November 3 98%; US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?: November 2 95%. Each question has its own page with every outcome, the price chart and the rules.
What moved most in the last 24 hours?
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?: November 2 down 1 pt (as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:46 UTC).
How do I read Polymarket odds?
Each outcome trades between 1¢ and 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens, so the price in cents is the chance in percent. 40¢ means about 40%, and buying at 40¢ pays about 2.5x if right.
Where do these numbers come from?
From Polymarket's public market data, read every few minutes. The time on this page is when the prices were taken; PredictRips does not set them.
Can I trade these markets on PredictRips?
Not one by one. PredictRips sells packs of 3 random live Polymarket positions, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.