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World

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: June 30, 2027

10%chancen/a24h

  • Vol$31.3M
  • 24h$258k
  • Liquidity$673k
  • Open interest$6.9M
  • Closesin 240d
  • June 30, 2027
  • March 31, 2027
  • December 31, 2026
June 30, 2027 chance over 30 days: from 11% to 10%.

In short

Prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC: June 30, 2027 10%, March 31, 2027 7%, December 31, 2026 2%. Each outcome is priced on its own (a date or price level can't be ranked like candidates); $31.3M has been traded on it on Polymarket, and it is listed to close on 1 July 2027.
Key numbers
  • June 30, 2027, the favourite in "Putin out as President of Russia by", trades at 10% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: unchanged; 7 days: unchanged; 30 days: down 1 pt.
  • Traded: $31.3M in total, $258k in 24 hours; open interest $6.9M; liquidity $673k.
  • Listed to close on 1 July 2027; bid-ask spread on June 30, 2027 1¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/putin-out-before-2027”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
June 30, 202710%n/a11+953
March 31, 20277%up 115+1438
December 31, 20262%051+5028

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • March 31, 20277%

    up 1 pt in 24h

What would move this market

  • Official statements, negotiations and deadlines, military action, sanctions, and votes at the UN or in parliaments.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Closes:
1 Jul 2027, 03:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 10% means about 10¢ a share and roughly 11x back if right. On a ladder of dates or levels each rung is its own yes/no market, so the prices don't add up to 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

What are the odds on "Putin out as President of Russia by...?"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC, June 30, 2027 at 10%, then March 31, 2027 at 7% and December 31, 2026 at 2%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

June 30, 2027: unchanged in 24 hours, unchanged in 7 days and down 1 pt in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 July 2027 (1 Jul 2027, 03:59 UTC, in about 240 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$31.3M in total and $258k in the last 24 hours, with about $6.9M in open positions (open interest) and $673k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Putin out as President of Russia by...?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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