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World

Netanyahu out by...?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: June 30, 2027

43%chanceup 6 pts24h

  • Vol$125.0M
  • 24h$47k
  • Liquidity$141k
  • Open interest$425k
  • Closesin 60d
  • June 30, 2027
  • March 31, 2027
  • December 31
June 30, 2027 chance over 30 days: from 86% to 43%.

In short

Prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 13:23 UTC: June 30, 2027 43%, March 31, 2027 27%, December 31 20%. Each outcome is priced on its own (a date or price level can't be ranked like candidates); $125.0M has been traded on it on Polymarket, and it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • June 30, 2027, the favourite in "Netanyahu out by", trades at 43% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 13:23 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: up 6 pts; 7 days: down 43 pts; 30 days: unchanged.
  • Traded: $125.0M in total, $47k in 24 hours; open interest $425k; liquidity $141k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on June 30, 2027 3¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/netanyahu-out-before-2027”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 13:23 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
June 30, 202743%up 62.4+135
March 31, 202727%up 23.8+277
December 3120%up 15.1+413

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • June 30, 202743%

    up 6 pts in 24h

  • March 31, 202727%

    up 2 pts in 24h

  • December 3120%

    up 1 pt in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when June 30, 2027 moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · June 30, 2027 up 5 pts (37% to 43%)

  2. · June 30, 2027 up 8 pts (34% to 43%)

  3. · June 30, 2027 down 15 pts (44% to 30%)

  4. · June 30, 2027 down 34 pts (75% to 41%)

  5. · June 30, 2027 down 22 pts (86% to 63%)

What would move this market

  • Official statements, negotiations and deadlines, military action, sanctions, and votes at the UN or in parliaments.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 43% means about 43¢ a share and roughly 2.4x back if right. On a ladder of dates or levels each rung is its own yes/no market, so the prices don't add up to 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

What are the odds on "Netanyahu out by...?"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 13:23 UTC, June 30, 2027 at 43%, then March 31, 2027 at 27% and December 31 at 20%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

June 30, 2027: up 6 pts in 24 hours, down 43 pts in 7 days and unchanged in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 13:23 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 60 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$125.0M in total and $47k in the last 24 hours, with about $425k in open positions (open interest) and $141k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 13:23 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Netanyahu out by...?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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