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Polymarket election odds

Live prices, updated . Refreshes about every 5 minutes.

In short

47 live Polymarket markets on elections, with $3.2B traded on them ($44.2M in 24 hours), as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:37 UTC. Most traded: "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16%); "Presidential Election Winner 2028" (JD Vance 18%); "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028" (J.D. Vance 36%).
Markets
47
Traded on them
$3.2B
Traded in 24h
$44.2M
Close in 30 days
37
Key numbers
  • 47 Polymarket markets on elections have over $500k traded each and stay open more than a day (2 Nov 2026, 21:37 UTC).
  • Together they have traded $3.2B, $44.2M of it in the last 24 hours.
  • The most traded is "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028": Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 16%, $1.3B traded.
  • Biggest 24-hour move: "NC-13 House Election Winner", Paul Barringer (D) down 10 pts.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/polymarket/elections”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:37 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every live market, most traded first

Polymarket election odds, most traded first
QuestionFavourite24h
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%0
Presidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance18%0
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance36%down 2
Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen40%0
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsDemocrats Sweep77%up 6
California Governor Election WinnerXavier Becerra98%0
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)None34%up 8
Which party will win the House in 2026?Democratic Party96%up 1
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Democratic Party77%up 5
Texas Senate Election WinnerJames Talarico (D)76%up 5
Next Prime Minister of SwedenMagdalena Andersson69%down 1
Michigan Senate Election WinnerAbdul El-Sayed (D)80%up 5
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes26%down 1
Maine Senate Election WinnerTroy Jackson (D)75%up 4
Taipei Mayor Election WinnerChiang Wan-an67%up 1
Ohio Senate Election WinnerSherrod Brown (D)71%down 3
Alaska Senate Election WinnerMary Peltola73%down 2
Next Prime Minister of Spain?Alberto Núñez Feijóo85%up 1
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Democratic66%up 1
Ukraine election held by...?December 31, 20263%n/a
Nebraska Senate Election WinnerPete Ricketts (R)72%n/a
Texas Governor Election WinnerGreg Abbott (R)61%down 6
Kansas Senate Election WinnerAdam Hamilton (D)62%up 9
Iowa Senate Election WinnerAshley Hinson (R)52%down 7
South Carolina Senate Election WinnerDarline Graham Nordone (R)69%down 6
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes89%down 4
Ohio Governor Election WinnerAmy Acton (D)83%up 2
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?No Hormuz Agreement96%0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes5%n/a
Alaska Governor Election WinnerJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins89%up 1
Florida Governor Election WinnerByron Donalds (R) 66%up 2
Nevada Governor Election WinnerAaron Ford (D)76%down 3
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?Oil ≥ $85; D Senate75%up 4
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerJavier Milei45%up 2
Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerDavid Crowley (D)86%up 1
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?Oil < $80; D Senate0.8%0
Minnesota Senate Election WinnerPeggy Flanagan (D)94%up 1
Florida Senate Election WinnerAshley Moody (R)88%down 3
Mississippi Senate Election WinnerCindy Hyde-Smith (R)86%down 3
Arizona Governor Election WinnerKatie Hobbs (D)94%n/a
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?28–292%0
NC-13 House Election WinnerPaul Barringer (D)35%down 10
New Hampshire Senate Election WinnerChris Pappas (D)96%up 2
Michigan Governor Election WinnerJocelyn Benson (D)96%up 1
Georgia Senate Election WinnerJon Ossoff (D)98%0
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?David Lisnard19%down 1
New York Governor Election WinnerBruce Blakeman (R)3%n/a

What moves elections markets

Election markets move on polls, candidate entries and withdrawals, endorsements, debates, fundraising reports and, at the end, early vote and official results as they are counted. They settle on the official certified result or the authority each market's rules name.

A price in cents is the chance in percent; each question page shows every outcome, the 7- and 30-day chart, the rules word for word and when the big moves happened. New to this? Read how to read Polymarket odds.

Also: Election odds today, Election odds by country, The 2026 midterms explained.

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FAQ

What are the Polymarket odds on elections?

As of 2 Nov 2026, 21:37 UTC: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16%; Presidential Election Winner 2028: JD Vance 18%; Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: J.D. Vance 36%. Each question has its own page with every outcome, the price chart and the rules.

What moved most in the last 24 hours?

NC-13 House Election Winner: Paul Barringer (D) down 10 pts; Kansas Senate Election Winner: Adam Hamilton (D) up 9 pts; Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map): None up 8 pts (as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:37 UTC).

How do I read Polymarket odds?

Each outcome trades between 1¢ and 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens, so the price in cents is the chance in percent. 40¢ means about 40%, and buying at 40¢ pays about 2.5x if right.

Where do these numbers come from?

From Polymarket's public market data, read every few minutes. The time on this page is when the prices were taken; PredictRips does not set them.

Can I trade these markets on PredictRips?

Not one by one. PredictRips sells packs of 3 random live Polymarket positions, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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