PredictRips

PredictRips deals packs of 3 live Polymarket markets. Odds shown before you pay. First pack free.How it works

Elections

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: Jocelyn Benson (D)

95%chanceup 1 pt24h

  • Vol$528k
  • 24h$36k
  • Liquidity$415k
  • Open interest$170k
  • Closesin 2d
  • Jocelyn Benson (D)
  • John James (R)
  • Independent
Jocelyn Benson (D) chance over 30 days: from 94% to 95%.

In short

Jocelyn Benson (D) leads at 95%, ahead of John James (R) (5%) and Independent (0.1%), as of 2 Nov 2026, 10:03 UTC. Jocelyn Benson (D) is up 2 pts over 30 days. 2 outcomes are priced and $528k has been traded on it on Polymarket; it is listed to close on 4 November 2026.
Key numbers
  • Jocelyn Benson (D), the favourite in "Michigan Governor Election Winner", trades at 95% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 10:03 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: up 1 pt; 7 days: up 3 pts; 30 days: up 2 pts.
  • Traded: $528k in total, $36k in 24 hours; open interest $170k; liquidity $415k.
  • Listed to close on 4 November 2026; bid-ask spread on Jocelyn Benson (D) under 1¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/michigan-governor-winner-2026”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 10:03 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
Jocelyn Benson (D)95%up 11.05-1962
John James (R)5%down 221+1962

1 more outcomes are priced under 0.5% and not listed.

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • John James (R)5%

    down 2 pts in 24h

  • Jocelyn Benson (D)95%

    up 1 pt in 24h

What would move this market

  • Polls, candidate entries and withdrawals, endorsements, debates and fundraising reports; at the end, early-vote data and official results as they are counted.
  • Jocelyn Benson (D) leads John James (R) by 90 points. Flipping the order would take sustained news, not one headline.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Closes:
4 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 95% means about 95¢ a share and roughly 1.05x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary, how election odds work.

Your first pack is free

Rip a pack of live politics markets

Every pack holds 3 live prediction markets. Odds and pack value are shown before you pay. Hold to the result or cash out at the live price.

Rip your free pack

18+. Packs are random and carry a house edge: pack value at open is about 90% of the price.

FAQ

Who is favoured in "Michigan Governor Election Winner"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 10:03 UTC, Jocelyn Benson (D) at 95%, then John James (R) at 5% and Independent at 0.1%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

Jocelyn Benson (D): up 1 pt in 24 hours, up 3 pts in 7 days and up 2 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 10:03 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 4 November 2026 (4 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC, in about 2 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$528k in total and $36k in the last 24 hours, with about $170k in open positions (open interest) and $415k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 10:03 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Michigan Governor Election Winner". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

Related markets

Odds today

Read first