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Elections
NC-13 House Election Winner
65%chanceup 9 pts
- Vol$597k
- 24h$61k
- Liquidity$293k
- Open interest$241k
- Closesin 1d
- Brad Knott (R)
- Paul Barringer (D)
In short
- Brad Knott (R), the favourite in "NC-13 House Election Winner", trades at 65% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 17:40 UTC).
- 24-hour move: up 9 pts; 7 days: down 3 pts; 30 days: down 19 pts.
- Traded: $597k in total, $61k in 24 hours; open interest $241k; liquidity $293k.
- Listed to close on 4 November 2026; bid-ask spread on Brad Knott (R) 1¢.
Every outcome, most likely first
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 30d | Decimal | American |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Knott (R) | 65% | up 9 | 1.55 | -182 | ||
| Paul Barringer (D) | 38% | down 7 | 2.7 | +167 |
Biggest moves in 24 hours
Brad Knott (R)65%
Paul Barringer (D)38%
Timeline of big moves
· Brad Knott (R) up 9 pts (56% to 65%)
· Brad Knott (R) down 12 pts (69% to 57%)
· Brad Knott (R) up 9 pts (60% to 69%)
· Brad Knott (R) down 6 pts (65% to 60%)
· Brad Knott (R) down 7 pts (70% to 63%)
· Brad Knott (R) up 12 pts (55% to 67%)
What would move this market
- Polls, candidate entries and withdrawals, endorsements, debates and fundraising reports; at the end, early-vote data and official results as they are counted.
- Brad Knott (R) leads Paul Barringer (D) by 27 points. Flipping the order would take sustained news, not one headline.
- What counts in the end: the source the rules name (www.fec.gov/). Reports elsewhere move the price; only that source settles it.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
- Resolution source:
- www.fec.gov/
- Closes:
- 4 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC
- How results are settled:
- Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.
How to read these odds
A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 65% means about 65¢ a share and roughly 1.55x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary, how election odds work.
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FAQ
Who is favoured in "NC-13 House Election Winner"?
At 2 Nov 2026, 17:40 UTC, Brad Knott (R) at 65%, then Paul Barringer (D) at 38%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How have the odds moved?
Brad Knott (R): up 9 pts in 24 hours, down 3 pts in 7 days and down 19 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 17:40 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.
When does this market resolve?
It is listed to close on 4 November 2026 (4 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC, in about 1 day) and settles under Polymarket's written rules, with www.fec.gov/ as the named source. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.
How much has been traded on it?
$597k in total and $61k in the last 24 hours, with about $241k in open positions (open interest) and $293k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 17:40 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From the public Polymarket market "NC-13 House Election Winner". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.
Are prediction market odds accurate?
On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.
Can I bet on this on PredictRips?
Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.
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