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Elections · United States

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: <22

52%chanceup 7 pts24h

  • Vol$715k
  • 24h$849
  • Liquidity$136k
  • Open interest$11k
  • Closesin 1d
  • <22
  • 22–23
  • 24–25
  • 28–29
<22 chance over 30 days: from 27% to 52%.

In short

Prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 22:11 UTC: <22 52%, 22–23 28%, 24–25 15%. Each outcome is priced on its own (a date or price level can't be ranked like candidates); $715k has been traded on it on Polymarket, and it is listed to close on 4 November 2026.
Key numbers
  • <22, the favourite in "How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections", trades at 52% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 22:11 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: up 7 pts; 7 days: up 19 pts; 30 days: up 25 pts.
  • Traded: $715k in total, $849 in 24 hours; open interest $11k; liquidity $136k.
  • Listed to close on 4 November 2026; bid-ask spread on <22 1¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/how-many-republican-governors-after-the-2026-midterm-elections”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 22:11 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
<2252%up 71.94-106
22–2328%down 23.6+257
24–2515%down 26.7+567
28–292%045+4445
26–272%n/a51+5028
32+1%077+7592
30–310.5%0182+18082

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • <2252%

    up 7 pts in 24h

  • 24–2515%

    down 2 pts in 24h

  • 22–2328%

    down 2 pts in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when <22 moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · <22 up 8 pts (42% to 50%)

  2. · <22 up 5 pts (39% to 44%)

  3. · <22 up 12 pts (25% to 36%)

  4. · <22 down 10 pts (33% to 23%)

  5. · <22 up 5 pts (27% to 33%)

  6. · <22 up 6 pts (23% to 30%)

What would move this market

  • Polls, candidate entries and withdrawals, endorsements, debates and fundraising reports; at the end, early-vote data and official results as they are counted.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Closes:
4 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 52% means about 52¢ a share and roughly 1.94x back if right. On a ladder of dates or levels each rung is its own yes/no market, so the prices don't add up to 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary, how election odds work.

The event, explained (dates, what is decided and every market on it): the 2026 midterms.

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FAQ

What are the odds on "How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 22:11 UTC, <22 at 52%, then 22–23 at 28% and 24–25 at 15%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

<22: up 7 pts in 24 hours, up 19 pts in 7 days and up 25 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 22:11 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 4 November 2026 (4 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC, in about 1 day) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$715k in total and $849 in the last 24 hours, with about $11k in open positions (open interest) and $136k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 22:11 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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