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Bitcoin Up or Down: November 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
In short
Up up 45 points in the last 24 hours
- 95¢
- 5¢
- $1 per share (about 1.1x on Up)
- 2¢
- $5k
- $9k
What this market means
Traders buy Up or Down shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Up costs 95¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 95%, Up looks cheap; if lower, Down does. $9k has traded on it, $10k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". Full rules on Polymarket
On PredictRips you don't trade this order book. You rip a pack: the pack draws live markets like this one at their current price, tells you in plain words what you hold, and lets you cash out any card at the live price until 2 minutes before it closes.
More like this today: Bitcoin price odds today.
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Packs draw 3 live crypto markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
Related markets
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- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 3?16%
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 3?1%
FAQ
What are the odds for "Bitcoin Up or Down: November 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET"?
The market prices "Up" at 95¢ and "Down" at 5¢, which means traders see about a 95% chance of "Up". A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 95¢ could return about 1.1x. Prices as of 3 Nov 2026, 12:02 UTC.
How much does a correct Up share pay?
$1 per share at resolution. At 95¢ that is about 1.1x your stake. Down costs 5¢ and pays about 20x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?
It is in the pack pool right now, so it can land in a PredictRips pack. Packs are random: you see the odds and pack value before paying, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
When does it resolve?
Trading closes around 3 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.