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Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?
Culture · Polymarket market
Live prices, updated . Pages refresh about every 5 minutes.
In short
The market prices "Yes" at 99¢, which means traders see about a 99% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 99¢ could return about 1.0x.
Yes99%
No1%
Yes up 25 points in the last 24 hours
Yes price
99¢
No price
1¢
Pays if right
$1 per share (about 1.0x on Yes)
Spread
2¢
Liquidity
$2k
Volume
$8k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 99¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 99%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $8k has traded on it, $5k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Lebanon on the specified date Jerusalem time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Leba... Full rules on Polymarket
On PredictRips you don't trade this order book. You rip a pack: the pack draws live markets like this one at their current price, tells you in plain words what you hold, and lets you cash out any card at the live price until 2 minutes before it closes.
Your first pack is free
Get markets like this in a pack
Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
18+. Packs are random and carry a house edge: pack value at open is about 90% of the price.
FAQ
What are the odds for "Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?"?+
The market prices "Yes" at 99¢, which means traders see about a 99% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 99¢ could return about 1.0x. Prices as of 9 Nov 2026, 05:49 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?+
$1 per share at resolution. At 99¢ that is about 1.0x your stake. No costs 1¢ and pays about 77x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?+
Not right now. PredictRips packs draw from live markets like this one, at random, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay.
When does it resolve?+
Trading closes around 9 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.
