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MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: Andrew Privett

28%chanceup 3 pts24h

  • Vol$953k
  • 24h$4k
  • Liquidity$25k
  • Open interest$6k
  • Closesin 60d
  • Andrew Privett
  • Rudy Camacho
  • Jalen Neal
  • Henry Kessler
Andrew Privett chance over 30 days: from 14% to 28%.

In short

Andrew Privett leads at 28%, ahead of Rudy Camacho (28%) and Jalen Neal (27%), as of 2 Nov 2026, 02:56 UTC. Andrew Privett is up 14 pts over 30 days. 47 outcomes are priced and $953k has been traded on it on Polymarket; it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • Andrew Privett, the favourite in "MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year", trades at 28% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 02:56 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: up 3 pts; 7 days: up 28 pts; 30 days: up 14 pts.
  • Traded: $953k in total, $4k in 24 hours; open interest $6k; liquidity $25k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on Andrew Privett 54¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/mls-2026-defender-of-the-year”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 02:56 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
Andrew Privett28%up 33.6+258
Rudy Camacho28%up 43.6+264
Jalen Neal27%up 23.7+266
Henry Kessler27%up 23.8+277
Erik Sviatchenko26%up 63.8+280
Carlos Terán26%03.9+286
Jakob Glesnes24%up 34.1+315
Aaron Long23%04.4+344
Jack Maher19%down 65.1+414
Sigurd Rosted18%up 175.4+443
Oleksandr Svatok14%up 27.1+614
Lalas Abubakar13%up 27.9+687
Robin Jansson8%up 113+1166
Justen Glad8%down 513+1207
Matt Miazga7%up 314+1299
Robert Voloder6%017+1567
Yeimar Gómez Andrade4%down 2422+2147
Miles Robinson4%up 224+2281
Brendan Hines-Ike4%024+2281
Andrés Reyes4%down 524+2339
Rodrigues4%024+2339
Maximiliano Falcón4%025+2432
Yevhen Cheberko4%026+2497
Michael Boxall4%026+2497
Kamal Miller3%down 331+2977
Marcelo Silva3%n/a32+3126
Enea Mihaj3%033+3179
Dave Romney2%042+4067
Joel Waterman2%n/a44+4344
Stian Gregersen2%061+5961
Sebastien Ibeagha2%down 361+5961
Daniel Munie2%down 261+5961
Walker Zimmerman2%down 165+6352
David Brekalo1%071+7043
Lucas Bartlett1%074+7307
Jack Elliott1%n/a91+8991
Thiago Martins1%095+9424
Mauricio Pineda0.9%0111+11011
Donovan Pines0.8%down 4133+13233
Jackson Ragen0.7%n/a143+14186

17 more outcomes are priced under 0.5% and not listed.

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • Andreas Maxsø0.5%

    down 27 pts in 24h

  • Yeimar Gómez Andrade4%

    down 24 pts in 24h

  • Noah Eile0.5%

    down 22 pts in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when Andrew Privett moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · Andrew Privett down 9 pts (34% to 25%)

  2. · Andrew Privett up 27 pts (8% to 34%)

  3. · Andrew Privett up 8 pts (0.3% to 8%)

  4. · Andrew Privett down 18 pts (21% to 4%)

  5. · Andrew Privett up 27 pts (4% to 31%)

  6. · Andrew Privett up 19 pts (4% to 23%)

What would move this market

  • Results, injuries, trades and transfers, and the schedule ahead.
  • A close race: Andrew Privett leads Rudy Camacho by 0 points, so a single strong news day could flip the order.
  • Thin book: about $25k of liquidity, so one large order can move the price on its own. Treat small moves with care.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 28% means about 28¢ a share and roughly 3.6x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

Who is favoured in "MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 02:56 UTC, Andrew Privett at 28%, then Rudy Camacho at 28% and Jalen Neal at 27%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

Andrew Privett: up 3 pts in 24 hours, up 28 pts in 7 days and up 14 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 02:56 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 60 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$953k in total and $4k in the last 24 hours, with about $6k in open positions (open interest) and $25k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 02:56 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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