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MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: Yordan Alvarez

97%chance024h

  • Vol$1.1M
  • 24h$25
  • Liquidity$84k
  • Open interest$15k
  • Closesin 61d
  • Yordan Alvarez
  • Junior Caminero
  • Cam Schlittler
  • Corey Seager
Yordan Alvarez chance over 30 days: from 96% to 97%.

In short

Yordan Alvarez leads at 97%, ahead of Junior Caminero (2%) and Cam Schlittler (2%), as of 1 Nov 2026, 07:11 UTC. Yordan Alvarez is up 1 pt over 30 days. 4 outcomes are priced and $1.1M has been traded on it on Polymarket; it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • Yordan Alvarez, the favourite in "MLB: 2026 AL MVP", trades at 97% on Polymarket (1 Nov 2026, 07:11 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: unchanged; 7 days: up 1 pt; 30 days: up 1 pt.
  • Traded: $1.1M in total, $25 in 24 hours; open interest $15k; liquidity $84k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on Yordan Alvarez 4¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/pro-baseball-2026-al-mvp”, prices as of 1 Nov 2026, 07:11 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
Yordan Alvarez97%01.03-3025
Junior Caminero2%down 157+5614
Cam Schlittler2%down 157+5614
Corey Seager0.6%0167+16567

16 more outcomes are priced under 0.5% and not listed.

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • Junior Caminero2%

    down 1 pt in 24h

  • Cam Schlittler2%

    down 1 pt in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when Yordan Alvarez moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · Yordan Alvarez up 4 pts (92% to 97%)

  2. · Yordan Alvarez down 5 pts (98% to 92%)

  3. · Yordan Alvarez down 5 pts (95% to 91%)

What would move this market

  • Results, injuries, trades and transfers, and the schedule ahead.
  • Yordan Alvarez leads Junior Caminero by 95 points. Flipping the order would take sustained news, not one headline.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 97% means about 97¢ a share and roughly 1.03x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

Who is favoured in "MLB: 2026 AL MVP"?

At 1 Nov 2026, 07:11 UTC, Yordan Alvarez at 97%, then Junior Caminero at 2% and Cam Schlittler at 2%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

Yordan Alvarez: unchanged in 24 hours, up 1 pt in 7 days and up 1 pt in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 1 Nov 2026, 07:11 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 61 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$1.1M in total and $25 in the last 24 hours, with about $15k in open positions (open interest) and $84k of liquidity in the order book, as of 1 Nov 2026, 07:11 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "MLB: 2026 AL MVP". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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