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Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: Islam/None in 2026

93%chance024h

  • Vol$603k
  • 24h$0
  • Liquidity$22k
  • Open interest$3k
  • Closesin 60d
  • Islam/None in 2026
  • Alexander Volkanovski
  • Ilia Topuria
  • Dricus Du Plessis
Islam/None in 2026 chance over 30 days: from 92% to 93%.

In short

Islam/None in 2026 leads at 93%, ahead of Alexander Volkanovski (8%) and Ilia Topuria (0.4%), as of 1 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC. Islam/None in 2026 is up 1 pt over 30 days. 2 outcomes are priced and $603k has been traded on it on Polymarket; it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • Islam/None in 2026, the favourite in "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026", trades at 93% on Polymarket (1 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: unchanged; 7 days: down 1 pt; 30 days: up 1 pt.
  • Traded: $603k in total, $0 in 24 hours; open interest $3k; liquidity $22k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on Islam/None in 2026 5¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/which-fighter-will-be-the-next-ufc-pound-for-pound-1-in-2026”, prices as of 1 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
Islam/None in 202693%01.08-1233
Alexander Volkanovski8%013+1225

13 more outcomes are priced under 0.5% and not listed.

What would move this market

  • Results, injuries, trades and transfers, and the schedule ahead.
  • Islam/None in 2026 leads Alexander Volkanovski by 85 points. Flipping the order would take sustained news, not one headline.
  • Thin book: about $22k of liquidity, so one large order can move the price on its own. Treat small moves with care.
  • What counts in the end: the source the rules name (www.ufc.com/athletes). Reports elsewhere move the price; only that source settles it.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev. If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolution source:
www.ufc.com/athletes
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 93% means about 93¢ a share and roughly 1.08x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

Who is favoured in "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026"?

At 1 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC, Islam/None in 2026 at 93%, then Alexander Volkanovski at 8% and Ilia Topuria at 0.4%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

Islam/None in 2026: unchanged in 24 hours, down 1 pt in 7 days and up 1 pt in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 1 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 60 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules, with www.ufc.com/athletes as the named source. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$603k in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $3k in open positions (open interest) and $22k of liquidity in the order book, as of 1 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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