PredictRips

PredictRips deals packs of 3 live Polymarket markets. Odds shown before you pay. First pack free.How it works

Sports

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: Joshua Van

97%chance024h

  • Vol$1.2M
  • 24h$260
  • Liquidity$22k
  • Open interest$7k
  • Closesin 59d
  • Joshua Van
  • Manel Kape
  • Brandon Royval
  • Alexandre Pantoja
Joshua Van chance over 30 days: from 94% to 97%.

In short

Joshua Van leads at 97%, ahead of Manel Kape (1%) and Brandon Royval (0.3%), as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:13 UTC. Joshua Van is up 4 pts over 30 days. 2 outcomes are priced and $1.2M has been traded on it on Polymarket; it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • Joshua Van, the favourite in "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026", trades at 97% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 21:13 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: unchanged; 7 days: unchanged; 30 days: up 4 pts.
  • Traded: $1.2M in total, $260 in 24 hours; open interest $7k; liquidity $22k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on Joshua Van 2¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/who-will-be-ufc-flyweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:13 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
Joshua Van97%01.03-3604
Manel Kape1%n/a83+8233

9 more outcomes are priced under 0.5% and not listed.

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when Joshua Van moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · Joshua Van up 5 pts (91% to 97%)

  2. · Joshua Van down 6 pts (98% to 91%)

  3. · Joshua Van up 5 pts (92% to 96%)

  4. · Joshua Van down 4 pts (96% to 92%)

What would move this market

  • Results, injuries, trades and transfers, and the schedule ahead.
  • Joshua Van leads Manel Kape by 96 points. Flipping the order would take sustained news, not one headline.
  • Thin book: about $22k of liquidity, so one large order can move the price on its own. Treat small moves with care.
  • What counts in the end: the source the rules name (www.ufc.com/athletes). Reports elsewhere move the price; only that source settles it.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolution source:
www.ufc.com/athletes
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 97% means about 97¢ a share and roughly 1.03x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

Your first pack is free

Rip a pack of live sports markets

Every pack holds 3 live prediction markets. Odds and pack value are shown before you pay. Hold to the result or cash out at the live price.

Rip your free pack

18+. Packs are random and carry a house edge: pack value at open is about 90% of the price.

FAQ

Who is favoured in "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 21:13 UTC, Joshua Van at 97%, then Manel Kape at 1% and Brandon Royval at 0.3%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

Joshua Van: unchanged in 24 hours, unchanged in 7 days and up 4 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:13 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 59 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules, with www.ufc.com/athletes as the named source. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$1.2M in total and $260 in the last 24 hours, with about $7k in open positions (open interest) and $22k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:13 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

Related markets

Odds today

Read first