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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?
Crypto · Polymarket market · in packs now
Live prices, updated . Pages refresh about every 5 minutes.
In short
The market prices "Up" at 96¢ and "Down" at 4¢, which means traders see about a 96% chance of "Up". A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 96¢ could return about 1.0x.
Up96%
Down4%
Up up 42 points in the last 24 hours
Up price
96¢
Down price
4¢
Pays if right
$1 per share (about 1.0x on Up)
Spread
1¢
Liquidity
$25k
Volume
$26k
What this market means
Traders buy Up or Down shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Up costs 96¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 96%, Up looks cheap; if lower, Down does. $26k has traded on it, $26k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 ... Full rules on Polymarket
On PredictRips you don't trade this order book. You rip a pack: the pack draws live markets like this one at their current price, tells you in plain words what you hold, and lets you cash out any card at the live price until 2 minutes before it closes.
Your first pack is free
Catch the next window in a pack
Packs draw 3 live crypto markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
What are the odds for "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?"?+
The market prices "Up" at 96¢ and "Down" at 4¢, which means traders see about a 96% chance of "Up". A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 96¢ could return about 1.0x. Prices as of 3 Nov 2026, 18:29 UTC.
How much does a correct Up share pay?+
$1 per share at resolution. At 96¢ that is about 1.0x your stake. Down costs 4¢ and pays about 27x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?+
It is in the pack pool right now, so it can land in a PredictRips pack. Packs are random: you see the odds and pack value before paying, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
When does it resolve?+
Trading closes around 3 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.
