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US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?
Culture · Polymarket market
Live prices, updated . Pages refresh about every 5 minutes.
In short
The market prices "Yes" at 2¢, which means traders see about a 2% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 2¢ could return about 45x.
Yes2%
No98%
Yes down 4 points in the last 24 hours
Yes price
2¢
No price
98¢
Pays if right
$1 per share (about 45x on Yes)
Spread
1¢
Liquidity
$44k
Volume
$394k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 2¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 2%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $394k has traded on it, $48k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes ag... Full rules on Polymarket
On PredictRips you don't trade this order book. You rip a pack: the pack draws live markets like this one at their current price, tells you in plain words what you hold, and lets you cash out any card at the live price until 2 minutes before it closes.
Every outcome of this event, with the price chart, the rules and the timeline of big moves: US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?.
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Get markets like this in a pack
Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
What are the odds for "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?"?+
The market prices "Yes" at 2¢, which means traders see about a 2% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 2¢ could return about 45x. Prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 10:01 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?+
$1 per share at resolution. At 2¢ that is about 45x your stake. No costs 98¢ and pays about 1.0x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?+
Not right now. PredictRips packs draw from live markets like this one, at random, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay.
When does it resolve?+
Trading closes around 1 Nov 2026, 03:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.
