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US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Culture · Polymarket market · in packs now
Live prices, updated . Pages refresh about every 5 minutes.
In short
The market prices "Yes" at 74¢, which means traders see about a 74% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 74¢ could return about 1.3x.
Yes74%
No26%
Yes down 23 points in the last 24 hours
Yes price
74¢
No price
26¢
Pays if right
$1 per share (about 1.3x on Yes)
Spread
28¢
Liquidity
$4k
Volume
$902k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 74¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 74%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $902k has traded on it, $280k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United S... Full rules on Polymarket
On PredictRips you don't trade this order book. You rip a pack: the pack draws live markets like this one at their current price, tells you in plain words what you hold, and lets you cash out any card at the live price until 2 minutes before it closes.
Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
What are the odds for "US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?"?+
The market prices "Yes" at 74¢, which means traders see about a 74% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 74¢ could return about 1.3x. Prices as of 3 Nov 2026, 00:47 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?+
$1 per share at resolution. At 74¢ that is about 1.3x your stake. No costs 26¢ and pays about 3.9x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?+
It is in the pack pool right now, so it can land in a PredictRips pack. Packs are random: you see the odds and pack value before paying, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
When does it resolve?+
Trading closes around 3 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.
