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Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
In short
Yes down 24 points in the last 24 hours
- 9¢
- 91¢
- $1 per share (about 11x on Yes)
- 0¢
- $8k
- $176k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 9¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 9%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $176k has traded on it, $73k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Full rules on Polymarket
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FAQ
What are the odds for "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?
The market prices "Yes" at 9¢, which means traders see about a 9% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 9¢ could return about 11x. Prices as of 3 Nov 2026, 12:02 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?
$1 per share at resolution. At 9¢ that is about 11x your stake. No costs 91¢ and pays about 1.1x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?
It is in the pack pool right now, so it can land in a PredictRips pack. Packs are random: you see the odds and pack value before paying, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
When does it resolve?
Trading closes around 3 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.