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Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?
Culture · Polymarket market
Live prices, updated . Pages refresh about every 5 minutes.
In short
The market prices "Yes" at 1¢, which means traders see about a 1% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 1¢ could return about 87x.
Yes1%
No99%
Yes price
1¢
No price
99¢
Pays if right
$1 per share (about 87x on Yes)
Spread
2¢
Liquidity
$11k
Volume
$8k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 1¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 1%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $8k has traded on it, $4 in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Saudi Arabia through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initia... Full rules on Polymarket
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Your first pack is free
Get markets like this in a pack
Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
What are the odds for "Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?"?+
The market prices "Yes" at 1¢, which means traders see about a 1% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 1¢ could return about 87x. Prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 10:01 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?+
$1 per share at resolution. At 1¢ that is about 87x your stake. No costs 99¢ and pays about 1.0x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?+
Not right now. PredictRips packs draw from live markets like this one, at random, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay.
When does it resolve?+
Trading closes around 31 Oct 2026, 20:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.
