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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Culture · Polymarket market
Live prices, updated . Pages refresh about every 5 minutes.
In short
The market prices "Yes" at 62¢, which means traders see about a 62% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 62¢ could return about 1.6x.
Yes62%
No38%
Yes up 6 points in the last 24 hours
Yes price
62¢
No price
38¢
Pays if right
$1 per share (about 1.6x on Yes)
Spread
7¢
Liquidity
$4k
Volume
$93k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 62¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 62%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $93k has traded on it, $4k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Full rules on Polymarket
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Get markets like this in a pack
Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
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FAQ
What are the odds for "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?"?+
The market prices "Yes" at 62¢, which means traders see about a 62% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 62¢ could return about 1.6x. Prices as of 5 Nov 2026, 05:18 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?+
$1 per share at resolution. At 62¢ that is about 1.6x your stake. No costs 38¢ and pays about 2.6x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?+
Not right now. PredictRips packs draw from live markets like this one, at random, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay.
When does it resolve?+
Trading closes around 5 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.
