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Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
In short
Yes up 2 points in the last 24 hours
- 3¢
- 97¢
- $1 per share (about 38x on Yes)
- 1¢
- $682k
- $612k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 3¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 3%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $612k has traded on it, $356k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exac... Full rules on Polymarket
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Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
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FAQ
What are the odds for "Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?"?
The market prices "Yes" at 3¢, which means traders see about a 3% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 3¢ could return about 38x. Prices as of 3 Nov 2026, 20:50 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?
$1 per share at resolution. At 3¢ that is about 38x your stake. No costs 97¢ and pays about 1.0x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?
It is in the pack pool right now, so it can land in a PredictRips pack. Packs are random: you see the odds and pack value before paying, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
When does it resolve?
Trading closes around 3 Nov 2026, 23:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.