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Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Culture · Polymarket market
Live prices, updated . Pages refresh about every 5 minutes.
In short
The market prices "Yes" at 11¢, which means traders see about a 11% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 11¢ could return about 8.8x.
Yes11%
No89%
Yes down 2 points in the last 24 hours
Yes price
11¢
No price
89¢
Pays if right
$1 per share (about 8.8x on Yes)
Spread
7¢
Liquidity
$916
Volume
$53k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 11¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 11%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $53k has traded on it, $4k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of... Full rules on Polymarket
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Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
What are the odds for "Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?"?+
The market prices "Yes" at 11¢, which means traders see about a 11% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 11¢ could return about 8.8x. Prices as of 4 Nov 2026, 12:38 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?+
$1 per share at resolution. At 11¢ that is about 8.8x your stake. No costs 89¢ and pays about 1.1x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?+
Not right now. PredictRips packs draw from live markets like this one, at random, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay.
When does it resolve?+
Trading closes around 4 Nov 2026, 11:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.
