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Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
In short
Yes up 16 points in the last 24 hours
- 95¢
- 5¢
- $1 per share (about 1.1x on Yes)
- 2¢
- $16k
- $154k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 95¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 95%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $154k has traded on it, $9k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Full rules on Polymarket
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Get markets like this in a pack
Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
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FAQ
What are the odds for "Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?"?
The market prices "Yes" at 95¢, which means traders see about a 95% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 95¢ could return about 1.1x. Prices as of 4 Nov 2026, 03:01 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?
$1 per share at resolution. At 95¢ that is about 1.1x your stake. No costs 5¢ and pays about 20x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?
It is in the pack pool right now, so it can land in a PredictRips pack. Packs are random: you see the odds and pack value before paying, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
When does it resolve?
Trading closes around 4 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.