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Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
In short
Yes down 2 points in the last 24 hours
- 80¢
- 20¢
- $1 per share (about 1.3x on Yes)
- 1¢
- $930k
- $3.8M
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 80¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 80%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $3.8M has traded on it, $792k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. Full rules on Polymarket
On PredictRips you don't trade this order book. You rip a pack: the pack draws live markets like this one at their current price, tells you in plain words what you hold, and lets you cash out any card at the live price until 2 minutes before it closes.
Every outcome of this event, with the price chart, the rules and the timeline of big moves: Michigan Senate Election Winner.
More like this today: Election odds today.
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Packs draw 3 live politics markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
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FAQ
What are the odds for "Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?"?
The market prices "Yes" at 80¢, which means traders see about a 80% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 80¢ could return about 1.3x. Prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 10:01 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?
$1 per share at resolution. At 80¢ that is about 1.3x your stake. No costs 20¢ and pays about 4.9x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?
It is in the pack pool right now, so it can land in a PredictRips pack. Packs are random: you see the odds and pack value before paying, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
When does it resolve?
Trading closes around 4 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.