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Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 4?

Weather · Polymarket market · in packs now

Live prices, updated 4 Nov 2026, 11:32 UTC. Pages refresh about every 5 minutes.

In short

The market prices "Yes" at 8¢, which means traders see about a 8% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 8¢ could return about 13x.

Yes8%

No93%

Yes down 37 points in the last 24 hours

Yes price: 8¢
No price: 93¢
Pays if right: $1 per share (about 13x on Yes)
Spread: 1¢
Liquidity: $1k
Volume: $8k

What this market means

Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 8¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 8%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $8k has traded on it, $5k in the last 24 hours.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at London City Airport (EGLC) on 4 Nov '26. The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for London City Airport (EGLC) on that date, in ten... Full rules on Polymarket

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FAQ

What are the odds for "Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 4?"?

The market prices "Yes" at 8¢, which means traders see about a 8% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 8¢ could return about 13x. Prices as of 4 Nov 2026, 11:32 UTC.

How much does a correct Yes share pay?

$1 per share at resolution. At 8¢ that is about 13x your stake. No costs 93¢ and pays about 1.1x.

Can I get this market on PredictRips?

It is in the pack pool right now, so it can land in a PredictRips pack. Packs are random: you see the odds and pack value before paying, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.

When does it resolve?

Trading closes around 4 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.