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Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?
Culture · Polymarket market
Live prices, updated . Pages refresh about every 5 minutes.
In short
The market prices "Yes" at 37¢, which means traders see about a 37% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 37¢ could return about 2.7x.
Yes37%
No63%
Yes up 1 point in the last 24 hours
Yes price
37¢
No price
63¢
Pays if right
$1 per share (about 2.7x on Yes)
Spread
2¢
Liquidity
$63k
Volume
$52k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 37¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 37%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $52k has traded on it, $525 in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Full rules on Polymarket
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Get markets like this in a pack
Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
18+. Packs are random and carry a house edge: pack value at open is about 90% of the price.
FAQ
What are the odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?"?+
The market prices "Yes" at 37¢, which means traders see about a 37% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 37¢ could return about 2.7x. Prices as of 1 Nov 2026, 15:45 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?+
$1 per share at resolution. At 37¢ that is about 2.7x your stake. No costs 63¢ and pays about 1.6x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?+
Not right now. PredictRips packs draw from live markets like this one, at random, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay.
When does it resolve?+
Trading closes around 4 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.