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Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
In short
Yes up 38 points in the last 24 hours
- 98¢
- 2¢
- $1 per share (about 1.0x on Yes)
- 2¢
- $1k
- $10k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 98¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 98%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $10k has traded on it, $1k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between November 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program,... Full rules on Polymarket
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Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
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FAQ
What are the odds for "Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?"?
The market prices "Yes" at 98¢, which means traders see about a 98% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 98¢ could return about 1.0x. Prices as of 9 Nov 2026, 02:14 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?
$1 per share at resolution. At 98¢ that is about 1.0x your stake. No costs 2¢ and pays about 43x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?
It is in the pack pool right now, so it can land in a PredictRips pack. Packs are random: you see the odds and pack value before paying, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
When does it resolve?
Trading closes around 9 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.