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MLS Cup Winner 2026

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: Nashville SC

21%chance024h

  • Vol$23.7M
  • 24h$7k
  • Liquidity$574k
  • Open interest$294k
  • Closesin 59d
  • Nashville SC
  • Inter Miami CF
  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC
  • FC Dallas
Nashville SC chance over 30 days: from 19% to 21%.

In short

Nashville SC leads at 21%, ahead of Inter Miami CF (17%) and Vancouver Whitecaps FC (15%), as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:14 UTC. Nashville SC is up 2 pts over 30 days. 18 outcomes are priced and $23.7M has been traded on it on Polymarket; it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • Nashville SC, the favourite in "MLS Cup Winner 2026", trades at 21% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 20:14 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: unchanged; 7 days: down 1 pt; 30 days: up 2 pts.
  • Traded: $23.7M in total, $7k in 24 hours; open interest $294k; liquidity $574k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on Nashville SC 3¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/mls-cup-winner-2026”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:14 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
Nashville SC21%04.7+366
Inter Miami CF17%up 15.9+488
Vancouver Whitecaps FC15%06.6+564
FC Dallas6%016+1526
St. Louis City SC6%n/a17+1567
Los Angeles FC5%n/a19+1805
New England Revolution5%n/a21+1962
Chicago Fire FC4%n/a22+2147
Philadelphia Union4%026+2464
Houston Dynamo FC3%n/a36+3536
Charlotte FC3%down 138+3674
San Jose Earthquakes2%043+4248
Orlando City SC1%077+7592
Colorado Rapids0.9%0118+11665
FC Cincinnati0.8%0133+13233
Seattle Sounders FC0.8%down 1133+13233
Columbus Crew0.7%n/a154+15285
LA Galaxy0.7%n/a154+15285

5 more outcomes are priced under 0.5% and not listed.

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • Charlotte FC3%

    down 1 pt in 24h

  • Seattle Sounders FC0.8%

    down 1 pt in 24h

  • Inter Miami CF17%

    up 1 pt in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when Nashville SC moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · Nashville SC up 5 pts (17% to 22%)

  2. · Nashville SC up 4 pts (18% to 22%)

What would move this market

  • Results, injuries, trades and transfers, and the schedule ahead.
  • A close race: Nashville SC leads Inter Miami CF by 4 points, so a single strong news day could flip the order.

In the news

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 21% means about 21¢ a share and roughly 4.7x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

Who is favoured in "MLS Cup Winner 2026"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 20:14 UTC, Nashville SC at 21%, then Inter Miami CF at 17% and Vancouver Whitecaps FC at 15%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

Nashville SC: unchanged in 24 hours, down 1 pt in 7 days and up 2 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:14 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 59 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$23.7M in total and $7k in the last 24 hours, with about $294k in open positions (open interest) and $574k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:14 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "MLS Cup Winner 2026". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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