PredictRips deals packs of 3 live Polymarket markets. Odds shown before you pay. First pack free.How it works
Sports
US military draft authorized in 2026?
2%chancedown 1 pt
- Vol$549k
- 24h$1k
- Liquidity$42k
- Open interest$63k
- Closesin 60d
In short
- Yes on "US military draft authorized in 2026" trades at 2% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 11:19 UTC).
- 24-hour move: down 1 pt; 7 days: down 2 pts; 30 days: down 2 pts.
- Traded: $549k in total, $1k in 24 hours; open interest $63k; liquidity $42k.
- Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on Yes under 1¢.
The odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 30d | Decimal | American |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | down 1 | 51 | +5028 | ||
| No | 98% | up 1 | 1.02 | -5028 |
What would move this market
- Results, injuries, trades and transfers, and the schedule ahead.
- At 2% Yes is a long shot. Long shots tend to be slightly overpriced, and a confirming headline can multiply the price quickly.
- Thin book: about $42k of liquidity, so one large order can move the price on its own. Treat small moves with care.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Closes:
- 1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
- How results are settled:
- Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.
How to read these odds
A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 2% means about 2¢ a share and roughly 51x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.
Your first pack is free
Rip a pack of live sports markets
Every pack holds 3 live prediction markets. Odds and pack value are shown before you pay. Hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
FAQ
What are the odds on "US military draft authorized in 2026?"?
At 2 Nov 2026, 11:19 UTC, Polymarket traders put Yes at 2%, which is decimal odds of 51 or American +5028. A Yes share costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
How have the odds moved?
Yes: down 1 pt in 24 hours, down 2 pts in 7 days and down 2 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 11:19 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.
When does this market resolve?
It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 60 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.
How much has been traded on it?
$549k in total and $1k in the last 24 hours, with about $63k in open positions (open interest) and $42k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 11:19 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From the public Polymarket market "US military draft authorized in 2026?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.
Are prediction market odds accurate?
On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.
Can I bet on this on PredictRips?
Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.
Related markets
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion · Barcelona 23%
- NBA: 2027 Champion · San Antonio Spurs 23%
- F1 Constructors' Champion · Ferrari 0.4%
- NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year · Labaron Philon Jr. 0.3%
- MLB: AL Rookie of the Year · Carson Williams 0.1%
- MLB: 2026 NL MVP · Mookie Betts 0.1%
- MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner · Logan Gilbert 0.1%
- Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026? · Amir Albazi 0.1%
- All sports odds
- All big questions