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Will 4 or more Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?
Culture · Polymarket market
Live prices, updated . Pages refresh about every 5 minutes.
In short
The market prices "Yes" at 2¢, which means traders see about a 2% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 2¢ could return about 43x.
Yes2%
No98%
Yes price
2¢
No price
98¢
Pays if right
$1 per share (about 43x on Yes)
Spread
4¢
Liquidity
$10k
Volume
$351
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 2¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 2%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $351 has traded on it.
How it resolves
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of individuals elected in the midterm elections to the United States Senate and United States House of Representatives who are neither the nominee of nor have a ballot-listed affiliation wi... Full rules on Polymarket
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Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
What are the odds for "Will 4 or more Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?"?+
The market prices "Yes" at 2¢, which means traders see about a 2% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 2¢ could return about 43x. Prices as of 4 Nov 2026, 08:19 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?+
$1 per share at resolution. At 2¢ that is about 43x your stake. No costs 98¢ and pays about 1.0x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?+
Not right now. PredictRips packs draw from live markets like this one, at random, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay.
When does it resolve?+
Trading closes around 3 Nov 2026, 23:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.
