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Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
In short
Yes down 5 points in the last 24 hours
- 27¢
- 74¢
- $1 per share (about 3.8x on Yes)
- 1¢
- $234k
- $806k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 27¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 27%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $806k has traded on it, $302k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. Full rules on Polymarket
On PredictRips you don't trade this order book. You rip a pack: the pack draws live markets like this one at their current price, tells you in plain words what you hold, and lets you cash out any card at the live price until 2 minutes before it closes.
Every outcome of this event, with the price chart, the rules and the timeline of big moves: Nebraska Senate Election Winner .
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FAQ
What are the odds for "Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?"?
The market prices "Yes" at 27¢, which means traders see about a 27% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 27¢ could return about 3.8x. Prices as of 31 Oct 2026, 22:32 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?
$1 per share at resolution. At 27¢ that is about 3.8x your stake. No costs 74¢ and pays about 1.4x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?
Not right now. PredictRips packs draw from live markets like this one, at random, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay.
When does it resolve?
Trading closes around 4 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.