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Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
In short
Yes up 29 points in the last 24 hours
- 52¢
- 48¢
- $1 per share (about 1.9x on Yes)
- 1¢
- $5k
- $206k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 52¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 52%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $206k has traded on it, $64k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Full rules on Polymarket
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Your first pack is free
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Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
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FAQ
What are the odds for "Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?"?
The market prices "Yes" at 52¢, which means traders see about a 52% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 52¢ could return about 1.9x. Prices as of 3 Nov 2026, 12:02 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?
$1 per share at resolution. At 52¢ that is about 1.9x your stake. No costs 48¢ and pays about 2.1x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?
Not right now. PredictRips packs draw from live markets like this one, at random, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay.
When does it resolve?
Trading closes around 3 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.