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Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?
In short
Yes down 16 points in the last 24 hours
- 14¢
- 86¢
- $1 per share (about 7.4x on Yes)
- 2¢
- $24k
- $31k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 14¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 14%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $31k has traded on it, $18k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next New Zealand general election. Full rules on Polymarket
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Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
Related markets
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- Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?5%
- Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?4%
- Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?98%
- Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?2%
- Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?79%
FAQ
What are the odds for "Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?"?
The market prices "Yes" at 14¢, which means traders see about a 14% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 14¢ could return about 7.4x. Prices as of 8 Nov 2026, 01:06 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?
$1 per share at resolution. At 14¢ that is about 7.4x your stake. No costs 86¢ and pays about 1.2x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?
It is in the pack pool right now, so it can land in a PredictRips pack. Packs are random: you see the odds and pack value before paying, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
When does it resolve?
Trading closes around 8 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.