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Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Culture · Polymarket market
Live prices, updated . Pages refresh about every 5 minutes.
In short
The market prices "Yes" at 45¢, which means traders see about a 45% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 45¢ could return about 2.2x.
Yes45%
No55%
Yes down 2 points in the last 24 hours
Yes price
45¢
No price
55¢
Pays if right
$1 per share (about 2.2x on Yes)
Spread
1¢
Liquidity
$53k
Volume
$30k
What this market means
Traders buy Yes or No shares. Each share pays $1 if it is right and nothing if it is wrong, so the price is the crowd's chance. Yes costs 45¢: if you think the real chance is higher than 45%, Yes looks cheap; if lower, No does. $30k has traded on it, $22k in the last 24 hours.
How it resolves
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the United States Senate as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and ... Full rules on Polymarket
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Packs draw 3 live culture markets like this one. You see the odds and the pack value before you pay, then hold to the result or cash out at the live price.
What are the odds for "Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?"?+
The market prices "Yes" at 45¢, which means traders see about a 45% chance of it happening. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, so 45¢ could return about 2.2x. Prices as of 3 Nov 2026, 18:27 UTC.
How much does a correct Yes share pay?+
$1 per share at resolution. At 45¢ that is about 2.2x your stake. No costs 55¢ and pays about 1.8x.
Can I get this market on PredictRips?+
Not right now. PredictRips packs draw from live markets like this one, at random, with the odds and pack value shown before you pay.
When does it resolve?+
Trading closes around 3 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC. The venue's own rules decide the outcome; voided markets pay what the venue pays.