PredictRips deals packs of 3 live Polymarket markets. Odds shown before you pay. First pack free.How it works
Crypto
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3%chance0
- Vol$24.8M
- 24h$27k
- Liquidity$143k
- Open interest$4.8M
- Closesin 59d
In short
- Yes on "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026" trades at 3% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 21:30 UTC).
- 24-hour move: down 1 pt; 7 days: down 2 pts; 30 days: down 2 pts.
- Traded: $24.8M in total, $27k in 24 hours; open interest $4.8M; liquidity $143k.
- Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on Yes under 1¢.
The odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 30d | Decimal | American |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 0 | 38 | +3674 | ||
| No | 97% | up 1 | 1.03 | -3674 |
What would move this market
- The spot price first: every move toward or away from a level reprices it within minutes. Then ETF flows, rate decisions and inflation prints, regulation and big holders buying or selling.
- At 3% Yes is a long shot. Long shots tend to be slightly overpriced, and a confirming headline can multiply the price quickly.
- What counts in the end: the source the rules name (www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633). Reports elsewhere move the price; only that source settles it.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
- Resolution source:
- www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633
- Closes:
- 1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC
- How results are settled:
- Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.
How to read these odds
A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 3% means about 3¢ a share and roughly 38x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.
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FAQ
What are the odds on "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?"?
At 2 Nov 2026, 21:30 UTC, Polymarket traders put Yes at 3%, which is decimal odds of 38 or American +3674. A Yes share costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
How have the odds moved?
Yes: down 1 pt in 24 hours, down 2 pts in 7 days and down 2 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:30 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.
When does this market resolve?
It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC, in about 59 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules, with www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633 as the named source. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.
How much has been traded on it?
$24.8M in total and $27k in the last 24 hours, with about $4.8M in open positions (open interest) and $143k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:30 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From the public Polymarket market "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.
Are prediction market odds accurate?
On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.
Can I bet on this on PredictRips?
Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.
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