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Crypto

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: $100M

7%chanceup 1 pt24h

  • Vol$7.0M
  • 24h$428
  • Liquidity$263k
  • Open interest$396k
  • Closesin 59d
  • $100M
  • $1B
  • $500M
  • $100M
$100M chance over 30 days: from 12% to 7%.

In short

Prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:31 UTC: $100M 7%, $1B 6%, $500M 6%. Each outcome is priced on its own (a date or price level can't be ranked like candidates); $7.0M has been traded on it on Polymarket, and it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • $100M, the favourite in "Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch", trades at 7% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 21:31 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: up 1 pt; 7 days: down 2 pts; 30 days: down 5 pts.
  • Traded: $7.0M in total, $428 in 24 hours; open interest $396k; liquidity $263k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on $100M 1¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:31 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
$100M7%up 115+1438
$1B6%n/a17+1567
$500M6%017+1581
$100M5%n/a19+1805
$300M5%020+1900
$2B5%up 121+1983
$3B4%n/a24+2253
$5B3%034+3290

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • $100M7%

    up 1 pt in 24h

  • $2B5%

    up 1 pt in 24h

  • $300M5%

    0 in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when $100M moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · $100M up 5 pts (12% to 17%)

  2. · $100M up 5 pts (11% to 15%)

What would move this market

  • The spot price first: every move toward or away from a level reprices it within minutes. Then ETF flows, rate decisions and inflation prints, regulation and big holders buying or selling.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 7% means about 7¢ a share and roughly 15x back if right. On a ladder of dates or levels each rung is its own yes/no market, so the prices don't add up to 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

What are the odds on "Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 21:31 UTC, $100M at 7%, then $1B at 6% and $500M at 6%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

$100M: up 1 pt in 24 hours, down 2 pts in 7 days and down 5 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:31 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC, in about 59 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$7.0M in total and $428 in the last 24 hours, with about $396k in open positions (open interest) and $263k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:31 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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