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Crypto

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: by December 31, 2027

24%chancedown 2 pts24h

  • Vol$27.3M
  • 24h$3k
  • Liquidity$136k
  • Open interest$247k
  • Closesin 59d
  • by December 31, 2027
  • by September 30, 2027
  • by June 30, 2027
  • by March 31, 2027
by December 31, 2027 chance over 30 days: from 28% to 24%.

In short

Prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:31 UTC: by December 31, 2027 24%, by September 30, 2027 18%, by June 30, 2027 11%. Each outcome is priced on its own (a date or price level can't be ranked like candidates); $27.3M has been traded on it on Polymarket, and it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • by December 31, 2027, the favourite in "When will Bitcoin hit $150k", trades at 24% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 21:31 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: down 2 pts; 7 days: down 2 pts; 30 days: down 4 pts.
  • Traded: $27.3M in total, $3k in 24 hours; open interest $247k; liquidity $136k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on by December 31, 2027 4¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:31 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
by December 31, 202724%down 24.2+317
by September 30, 202718%up 15.6+456
by June 30, 202711%up 19.5+852
by March 31, 20273%040+3900
by December 31, 20262%061+5961

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • by December 31, 202724%

    down 2 pts in 24h

  • by September 30, 202718%

    up 1 pt in 24h

  • by June 30, 202711%

    up 1 pt in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when by December 31, 2027 moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · by December 31, 2027 up 6 pts (22% to 28%)

  2. · by December 31, 2027 down 4 pts (25% to 21%)

  3. · by December 31, 2027 down 4 pts (26% to 22%)

  4. · by December 31, 2027 down 13 pts (41% to 28%)

  5. · by December 31, 2027 up 20 pts (21% to 41%)

  6. · by December 31, 2027 down 19 pts (40% to 22%)

What would move this market

  • The spot price first: every move toward or away from a level reprices it within minutes. Then ETF flows, rate decisions and inflation prints, regulation and big holders buying or selling.
  • What counts in the end: the source the rules name (www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). Reports elsewhere move the price; only that source settles it.

In the news

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

When will Bitcoin hit $150k
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 24% means about 24¢ a share and roughly 4.2x back if right. On a ladder of dates or levels each rung is its own yes/no market, so the prices don't add up to 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

What are the odds on "When will Bitcoin hit $150k?"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 21:31 UTC, by December 31, 2027 at 24%, then by September 30, 2027 at 18% and by June 30, 2027 at 11%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

by December 31, 2027: down 2 pts in 24 hours, down 2 pts in 7 days and down 4 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:31 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC, in about 59 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules, with www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT as the named source. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$27.3M in total and $3k in the last 24 hours, with about $247k in open positions (open interest) and $136k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 21:31 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "When will Bitcoin hit $150k?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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