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Tech

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Chance of Yes

3%chancedown 1 pt24h

  • Vol$938k
  • 24h$8k
  • Liquidity$33k
  • Open interest$304k
  • Closesin 17d
Price history
Yes chance over 30 days: from 5% to 3%.

In short

Prediction markets give Yes a 3% chance (down 1 pt in 24 hours), as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC. Over 30 days it is down 2 pts. $938k has been traded on it on Polymarket, and it is listed to close on 20 November 2026.
Key numbers
  • Yes on "GTA 6 launch postponed again" trades at 3% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: down 1 pt; 7 days: down 2 pts; 30 days: down 2 pts.
  • Traded: $938k in total, $8k in 24 hours; open interest $304k; liquidity $33k.
  • Listed to close on 20 November 2026; bid-ask spread on Yes under 1¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/gta-6-launch-postponed-again”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC. How the numbers work.

The odds

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
Yes3%down 140+3900
No98%up 11.03-3900

What would move this market

  • Launches, benchmark and leaderboard results, filings (an S-1 before an IPO), earnings and market caps, and regulators' decisions.
  • At 3% Yes is a long shot. Long shots tend to be slightly overpriced, and a confirming headline can multiply the price quickly.
  • Thin book: about $33k of liquidity, so one large order can move the price on its own. Treat small moves with care.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Closes:
20 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 3% means about 3¢ a share and roughly 40x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

What are the odds on "GTA 6 launch postponed again?"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC, Polymarket traders put Yes at 3%, which is decimal odds of 40 or American +3900. A Yes share costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

How have the odds moved?

Yes: down 1 pt in 24 hours, down 2 pts in 7 days and down 2 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 20 November 2026 (20 Nov 2026, 04:59 UTC, in about 17 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$938k in total and $8k in the last 24 hours, with about $304k in open positions (open interest) and $33k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "GTA 6 launch postponed again?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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