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Economy

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: $1.75–$2.0T

34%chanceup 1 pt24h

  • Vol$3.1M
  • 24h$98k
  • Liquidity$260k
  • Open interest$164k
  • Closesin 424d
  • $1.75–$2.0T
  • $1.5–$1.75T
  • $2.0–$2.25T
  • $1.25–$1.5T
$1.75–$2.0T chance over 30 days: from 19% to 34%.

In short

$1.75–$2.0T leads at 34%, ahead of $1.5–$1.75T (22%) and $2.0–$2.25T (18%), as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:13 UTC. $1.75–$2.0T is up 15 pts over 30 days. 10 outcomes are priced and $3.1M has been traded on it on Polymarket; it is listed to close on 1 January 2028.
Key numbers
  • $1.75–$2.0T, the favourite in "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap", trades at 34% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 20:13 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: up 1 pt; 7 days: up 4 pts; 30 days: up 15 pts.
  • Traded: $3.1M in total, $98k in 24 hours; open interest $164k; liquidity $260k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2028; bid-ask spread on $1.75–$2.0T 1¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:13 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
$1.75–$2.0T34%up 13.0+199
$1.5–$1.75T22%up 34.6+364
$2.0–$2.25T18%down 25.6+457
$1.25–$1.5T14%up 37.2+625
$2.25–$2.5T8%n/a13+1233
<$1.25T5%down 119+1805
$2.75–$3.0T2%down 163+6150
$2.5–$2.75T2%down 265+6352
No IPO by December 31, 20270.9%0111+11011
$3.0T+0.9%down 1118+11665

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • $1.5–$1.75T22%

    up 3 pts in 24h

  • $1.25–$1.5T14%

    up 3 pts in 24h

  • $2.5–$2.75T2%

    down 2 pts in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when $1.75–$2.0T moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · $1.75–$2.0T down 5 pts (33% to 27%)

  2. · $1.75–$2.0T down 8 pts (28% to 20%)

  3. · $1.75–$2.0T down 5 pts (28% to 23%)

  4. · $1.75–$2.0T down 14 pts (41% to 27%)

  5. · $1.75–$2.0T up 9 pts (16% to 25%)

  6. · $1.75–$2.0T up 5 pts (15% to 20%)

What would move this market

  • Inflation (CPI, PCE) and jobs reports, Fed officials' speeches, the FOMC statement and dot plot, and what bond and futures markets price for rates.
  • $1.75–$2.0T leads $1.5–$1.75T by 12 points. Flipping the order would take sustained news, not one headline.

In the news

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Closes:
1 Jan 2028, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 34% means about 34¢ a share and roughly 3.0x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

Who is favoured in "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 20:13 UTC, $1.75–$2.0T at 34%, then $1.5–$1.75T at 22% and $2.0–$2.25T at 18%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

$1.75–$2.0T: up 1 pt in 24 hours, up 4 pts in 7 days and up 15 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:13 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2028 (1 Jan 2028, 04:59 UTC, in about 424 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$3.1M in total and $98k in the last 24 hours, with about $164k in open positions (open interest) and $260k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:13 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

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Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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