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Economy

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: NVIDIA

60%chanceup 5 pts24h

  • Vol$9.5M
  • 24h$16k
  • Liquidity$1.1M
  • Open interest$638k
  • Closesin 59d
  • NVIDIA
  • Apple
  • Alphabet
  • Microsoft
NVIDIA chance over 30 days: from 82% to 60%.

In short

NVIDIA leads at 60%, ahead of Apple (35%) and Alphabet (1%), as of 2 Nov 2026, 17:13 UTC. NVIDIA is down 22 pts over 30 days. 3 outcomes are priced and $9.5M has been traded on it on Polymarket; it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • NVIDIA, the favourite in "Largest Company end of December 2026", trades at 60% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 17:13 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: up 5 pts; 7 days: down 3 pts; 30 days: down 22 pts.
  • Traded: $9.5M in total, $16k in 24 hours; open interest $638k; liquidity $1.1M.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on NVIDIA 1¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/largest-company-end-of-december-2026”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 17:13 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
NVIDIA60%up 51.68-147
Apple35%down 92.8+183
Alphabet1%091+8991

5 more outcomes are priced under 0.5% and not listed.

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • Apple35%

    down 9 pts in 24h

  • NVIDIA60%

    up 5 pts in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when NVIDIA moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · NVIDIA up 6 pts (51% to 56%)

  2. · NVIDIA down 16 pts (69% to 53%)

  3. · NVIDIA up 5 pts (65% to 70%)

  4. · NVIDIA up 5 pts (60% to 64%)

  5. · NVIDIA down 17 pts (74% to 57%)

  6. · NVIDIA up 6 pts (68% to 74%)

What would move this market

  • Inflation (CPI, PCE) and jobs reports, Fed officials' speeches, the FOMC statement and dot plot, and what bond and futures markets price for rates.
  • NVIDIA leads Apple by 24 points. Flipping the order would take sustained news, not one headline.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 60% means about 60¢ a share and roughly 1.68x back if right. The prices of all outcomes add up to about 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

Who is favoured in "Largest Company end of December 2026"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 17:13 UTC, NVIDIA at 60%, then Apple at 35% and Alphabet at 1%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

NVIDIA: up 5 pts in 24 hours, down 3 pts in 7 days and down 22 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 17:13 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 59 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$9.5M in total and $16k in the last 24 hours, with about $638k in open positions (open interest) and $1.1M of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 17:13 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Largest Company end of December 2026?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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