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Tech
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
31%chancen/a
- Vol$6.4M
- 24h$527
- Liquidity$138k
- Open interest$65k
- Closesin 791d
- December 31, 2028
- December 31, 2027
- June 30, 2027
- December 31, 2026
In short
- December 31, 2028, the favourite in "Indiana enacts data center moratorium by", trades at 31% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 10:04 UTC).
- 24-hour move: unchanged; 7 days: up 1 pt; 30 days: up 9 pts.
- Traded: $6.4M in total, $527 in 24 hours; open interest $65k; liquidity $138k.
- Listed to close on 1 January 2029; bid-ask spread on December 31, 2028 1¢.
Every outcome, most likely first
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 7d | 30d | Decimal | American |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2028 | 31% | n/a | 3.3 | +228 | ||
| December 31, 2027 | 18% | up 2 | 5.6 | +456 | ||
| June 30, 2027 | 12% | n/a | 8.7 | +770 | ||
| December 31, 2026 | 2% | n/a | 49 | +4778 |
Biggest moves in 24 hours
December 31, 202718%
Timeline of big moves
· December 31, 2028 up 5 pts (30% to 35%)
· December 31, 2028 up 28 pts (30% to 58%)
· December 31, 2028 down 5 pts (35% to 30%)
· December 31, 2028 up 8 pts (27% to 35%)
· December 31, 2028 up 8 pts (22% to 30%)
· December 31, 2028 down 6 pts (28% to 22%)
What would move this market
- Launches, benchmark and leaderboard results, filings (an S-1 before an IPO), earnings and market caps, and regulators' decisions.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Indiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions. Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies. Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted. For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment. Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force. A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item. The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify. The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face. A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify. A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings. This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment. The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Indiana; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Closes:
- 1 Jan 2029, 04:59 UTC
- How results are settled:
- Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.
How to read these odds
A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 31% means about 31¢ a share and roughly 3.3x back if right. On a ladder of dates or levels each rung is its own yes/no market, so the prices don't add up to 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.
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FAQ
What are the odds on "Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?"?
At 2 Nov 2026, 10:04 UTC, December 31, 2028 at 31%, then December 31, 2027 at 18% and June 30, 2027 at 12%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How have the odds moved?
December 31, 2028: unchanged in 24 hours, up 1 pt in 7 days and up 9 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 10:04 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.
When does this market resolve?
It is listed to close on 1 January 2029 (1 Jan 2029, 04:59 UTC, in about 791 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.
How much has been traded on it?
$6.4M in total and $527 in the last 24 hours, with about $65k in open positions (open interest) and $138k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 10:04 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From the public Polymarket market "Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.
Are prediction market odds accurate?
On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.
Can I bet on this on PredictRips?
Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.
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