PredictRips

PredictRips deals packs of 3 live Polymarket markets. Odds shown before you pay. First pack free.How it works

Crypto

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: December 31, 2027

82%chancedown 2 pts24h

  • Vol$1.6M
  • 24h$427
  • Liquidity$5k
  • Open interest$53k
  • Closesin 425d
  • December 31, 2027
  • June 30, 2027
  • March 31, 2027
  • December 31, 2026
December 31, 2027 chance over 30 days: from 70% to 82%.

In short

Prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 02:48 UTC: December 31, 2027 82%, June 30, 2027 27%, March 31, 2027 13%. Each outcome is priced on its own (a date or price level can't be ranked like candidates); $1.6M has been traded on it on Polymarket, and it is listed to close on 1 January 2028.
Key numbers
  • December 31, 2027, the favourite in "Kraken IPO by ___", trades at 82% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 02:48 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: down 2 pts; 7 days: up 10 pts; 30 days: up 12 pts.
  • Traded: $1.6M in total, $427 in 24 hours; open interest $53k; liquidity $5k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2028; bid-ask spread on December 31, 2027 15¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/kraken-ipo-in-2025”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 02:48 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
December 31, 202782%down 21.23-441
June 30, 202727%down 103.7+270
March 31, 202713%up 17.7+669
December 31, 20265%020+1941

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • June 30, 202727%

    down 10 pts in 24h

  • December 31, 202782%

    down 2 pts in 24h

  • March 31, 202713%

    up 1 pt in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when December 31, 2027 moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · December 31, 2027 down 5 pts (86% to 80%)

  2. · December 31, 2027 up 5 pts (83% to 88%)

  3. · December 31, 2027 up 6 pts (78% to 84%)

  4. · December 31, 2027 up 10 pts (71% to 82%)

  5. · December 31, 2027 up 5 pts (76% to 81%)

  6. · December 31, 2027 up 12 pts (63% to 75%)

What would move this market

  • The spot price first: every move toward or away from a level reprices it within minutes. Then ETF flows, rate decisions and inflation prints, regulation and big holders buying or selling.
  • Thin book: about $5k of liquidity, so one large order can move the price on its own. Treat small moves with care.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Closes:
1 Jan 2028, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 82% means about 82¢ a share and roughly 1.23x back if right. On a ladder of dates or levels each rung is its own yes/no market, so the prices don't add up to 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

Your first pack is free

Rip a pack of live crypto markets

Every pack holds 3 live prediction markets. Odds and pack value are shown before you pay. Hold to the result or cash out at the live price.

Rip your free pack

18+. Packs are random and carry a house edge: pack value at open is about 90% of the price.

FAQ

What are the odds on "Kraken IPO by ___ ?"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 02:48 UTC, December 31, 2027 at 82%, then June 30, 2027 at 27% and March 31, 2027 at 13%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

December 31, 2027: down 2 pts in 24 hours, up 10 pts in 7 days and up 12 pts in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 02:48 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2028 (1 Jan 2028, 04:59 UTC, in about 425 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$1.6M in total and $427 in the last 24 hours, with about $53k in open positions (open interest) and $5k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 02:48 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Kraken IPO by ___ ?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

Related markets

Odds today

Read first