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Crypto

Will Opensea launch a token by ___?

Live Polymarket odds · updated , refreshed about every 5 minutes.

Favourite: December 31, 2027

40%chancedown 18 pts24h

  • Vol$1.7M
  • 24h$1k
  • Liquidity$10k
  • Open interest$38k
  • Closesin 59d
  • December 31, 2027
  • June 30, 2027
  • March 31, 2027
  • December 31, 2026
December 31, 2027 chance over 30 days: from 51% to 40%.

In short

Prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC: December 31, 2027 40%, June 30, 2027 30%, March 31, 2027 22%. Each outcome is priced on its own (a date or price level can't be ranked like candidates); $1.7M has been traded on it on Polymarket, and it is listed to close on 1 January 2027.
Key numbers
  • December 31, 2027, the favourite in "Will Opensea launch a token by ___", trades at 40% on Polymarket (2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC).
  • 24-hour move: down 18 pts; 7 days: unchanged; 30 days: unchanged.
  • Traded: $1.7M in total, $1k in 24 hours; open interest $38k; liquidity $10k.
  • Listed to close on 1 January 2027; bid-ask spread on December 31, 2027 38¢.

Source: Polymarket market data, as of . Cite as: PredictRips, “predictrips.com/odds/q/will-opensea-launch-a-token-by-142”, prices as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC. How the numbers work.

Every outcome, most likely first

Chance = the price of a share that pays $1 if that outcome happens. Moves are in percentage points. Decimal and American odds are the same number in sportsbook terms, before fees.

OutcomeChance24hDecimalAmerican
December 31, 202740%down 182.5+150
June 30, 202730%down 153.3+233
March 31, 202722%down 114.7+365
December 31, 20266%017+1553

Biggest moves in 24 hours

  • December 31, 202740%

    down 18 pts in 24h

  • June 30, 202730%

    down 15 pts in 24h

  • March 31, 202722%

    down 11 pts in 24h

Timeline of big moves

Days in the last 30 when December 31, 2027 moved 4 points or more within 24 hours, newest first, from Polymarket's price history. A headline is shown when one from our news feeds matches the market and was published around the move.

  1. · December 31, 2027 down 18 pts (59% to 40%)

  2. · December 31, 2027 up 15 pts (54% to 69%)

What would move this market

  • The spot price first: every move toward or away from a level reprices it within minutes. Then ETF flows, rate decisions and inflation prints, regulation and big holders buying or selling.
  • Thin book: about $10k of liquidity, so one large order can move the price on its own. Treat small moves with care.

How it resolves

The rules, word for word as Polymarket publishes them:

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Opensea officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Opensea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Closes:
1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
How results are settled:
Polymarket markets are typically settled through UMA's optimistic oracle: a result is proposed after the event, can be disputed during a challenge window, and is final once undisputed or decided.

Source market on Polymarket

How to read these odds

A share of each outcome costs its chance in cents and pays $1 if it happens, so 40% means about 40¢ a share and roughly 2.5x back if right. On a ladder of dates or levels each rung is its own yes/no market, so the prices don't add up to 100%. Guides: reading Polymarket odds, odds to probability, glossary.

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FAQ

What are the odds on "Will Opensea launch a token by ___?"?

At 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC, December 31, 2027 at 40%, then June 30, 2027 at 30% and March 31, 2027 at 22%. Each price is the cost of a share that pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How have the odds moved?

December 31, 2027: down 18 pts in 24 hours, unchanged in 7 days and unchanged in 30 days (in percentage points), as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC. The chart and the timeline on this page show when the big moves happened.

When does this market resolve?

It is listed to close on 1 January 2027 (1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC, in about 59 days) and settles under Polymarket's written rules. Settlement can come after the close, once the result is confirmed.

How much has been traded on it?

$1.7M in total and $1k in the last 24 hours, with about $38k in open positions (open interest) and $10k of liquidity in the order book, as of 2 Nov 2026, 20:47 UTC.

Where do these odds come from?

From the public Polymarket market "Will Opensea launch a token by ___?". This page reads its live prices about every 5 minutes and states when each number was taken; PredictRips does not set them. A chance is the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the book is tight, else the last price.

Are prediction market odds accurate?

On heavily traded markets, prices have tracked outcomes reasonably well: events priced near 70% happen roughly 70% of the time. They are a crowd estimate that moves with news, not a forecast, and long shots tend to be overpriced.

Can I bet on this on PredictRips?

Not on one market directly. PredictRips sells packs that each draw 3 random positions from its live pool of Polymarket markets, which can include politics, crypto, sport and macro questions; the odds and pack value are shown before you pay. 18+, and only where it is legal.

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